There’s a certain Irish distaste for apartments or houses being built to rent. “Build-to-Rent” developments are seen as a missed opportunity for young people to own their own homes. However,… Read More »An Advantage of Build-to-Rent Developments
I picked up this book recommendation after listening to Duke on the podcast of the Norwegian Sovereign wealth fund (episode here). I notice as well now that Annie Duke has… Read More »Notes on Thinking in Bets – by Annie Duke
Works in Progress is a beautiful little booklet, published each quarter by a division of Stripe. Loosely paraphrasing from one of its editors – Sam Bowman – “our thinking is… Read More »Notes on Works in Progress Issue 15
Opening Remarks Knowledge is not established by authority. Knowledge is established through criticism, until the best explanation remains standing. Yet, the urge to appeal to authority is powerful. Notice the… Read More »What is AI and how to regulate it?
OpenAI CEO recently appeared on The All In Pod. I note all of this with high regard to Altman’s capabilities and with a generally positive disposition towards what Altman is… Read More »Remarks on Sam Altman’s Interview on the All In Pod
There have been “Departments of War” and “Ministers for War”, but I’ve never heard of a “Department of Attack”. It’s more palatable to have a Department of Defence. There are… Read More »Department of Attack
Yes, I was skeptical too Manifold.markets (and there are others) allow users to bet fake money on a wide variety of events – much as is the case at bookmakers… Read More »Play Money Betting Markets are Useful for Making Predictions
Here’s the proposal: Move the Irish time zone one or two hours closer to the US – making it easier for Irish companies to sell and support the US market.… Read More »Can clocks boost Irish GDP?
Humans think crazy things that are not said aloud. To date, the most powerful transformer models are constrained in thought – much more than society constrains children. This is a… Read More »Private Thought as a Key Limitation on AI Capabilities
The US house and senate voted overwhelmingly in favour of military action based on the perceived threat of “Weapons of Mass Destruction”. Perhaps such case-specific (and certainly important) matters are… Read More »Is TikTok the next WMD?